Joe Biden gets coronavirus in 2020

Created by sjy on 2020-03-22; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.

• sjy estimated 50% on 2020-03-22
• sty.silver estimated 10% on 2020-03-22
• pranomostro estimated 40% and said “Politicians seem to face especially high risk, & Goldman & Sachs predicts that ~50% of US americans will get infected. My estimate is only lower because he will have ample resources to protect himself.” on 2020-03-23
• daveisright estimated 30% on 2020-03-27
• qznc estimated 30% on 2020-04-01
• jjjsjd estimated 60% on 2020-04-01
• Adam Zerner estimated 20% on 2020-04-02
• credunkist estimated 14% on 2020-04-03
• batemancapital estimated 15% on 2020-04-03
• InquilineKea estimated 20% on 2020-06-02
• chemotaxis101 estimated 20% on 2020-06-04
• sty.silver   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.