Joe Biden dies of coronavirus in 2020

Created by sjy on 2020-03-22; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-12-31.

• sjy estimated 20% on 2020-03-22
• sty.silver estimated 5% on 2020-03-22
• pranomostro estimated 5% and said “40%*15% (estimate of contracting disease & CFR for people in the age group)” on 2020-03-23
• sjy estimated 5% and said “Actually looking at the CFR for this age group has caused me to reconsider.” on 2020-03-26
• daveisright estimated 4% on 2020-03-27
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-03-27
• qznc estimated 2% on 2020-03-27
• stepan estimated 1% on 2020-03-29
• Paul.David.Carr estimated 12% on 2020-06-01
• MultiplyByZer0 estimated 0% on 2020-06-12
• abelriboulot estimated 2% on 2020-08-04
• NickN estimated 1% on 2020-08-16
• unexpectedEOF estimated 7% on 2020-08-19
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-11-20
• sty.silver   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.