No OECD nation will have a lockdown (orders which prevent people from attending work, in the absence of any evidence of illness) in place by the end of 2020
- sjy estimated 80% on 2020-03-28
- sortega estimated 20% on 2020-04-06
- qznc said “Too vague for me. In Germany there is currently a “contact ban”. For some jobs, like actors, this is practically a lockdown.” on 2020-04-06
- sjy judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-03.
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