No OECD nation will have a lockdown (orders which prevent people from attending work, in the absence of any evidence of illness) in place by the end of 2020

Created by sjy on 2020-03-28; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by sjy on 2021-01-03.

• sjy estimated 80% on 2020-03-28
• sortega estimated 20% on 2020-04-06
• qznc said “Too vague for me. In Germany there is currently a “contact ban”. For some jobs, like actors, this is practically a lockdown.” on 2020-04-06
• sjy   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-03.