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There will be at least 160.000 confirmed cases of Coronavirus in China on July 1, 2020.

Created by sty.silver on 2020-03-30; known on 2020-07-04; judged wrong by sty.silver on 2020-07-04.

  • sty.silver estimated 15% on 2020-03-30
  • sty.silver said “Had a disagreement IRL about whether the number doubles in the next three months.” on 2020-03-30
  • Baeboo estimated 50% on 2020-03-30
  • Baeboo estimated 5% on 2020-05-06
  • sty.silver   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-07-04.