[Geopolitics] Venezuelan regime change (defined as Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) (born 23 November 1962) not being President of Venezuela) within one year

Created by two2thehead on 2020-04-03; known on 2021-04-03; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2021-04-04.

• two2thehead estimated 51% on 2020-04-03
• two2thehead changed the deadline from “on 2021-04-03” and changed their prediction from “[Geopolitics] Venezuelan regime change (defined as Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) (born 23 November 1962) not being in president of Venezuela) within one year” on 2020-04-03
• Baeboo estimated 45% on 2020-04-03
• Baeboo estimated 46% on 2020-04-16
• Baeboo estimated 49% on 2020-05-11
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2020-05-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 38% on 2020-05-27
• Baeboo estimated 34% on 2020-06-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2020-06-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 24% on 2020-07-24
• Baeboo estimated 15% on 2020-07-25
• Baeboo estimated 20% on 2020-07-25
• two2thehead estimated 35% on 2020-07-25
• two2thehead estimated 15% on 2020-09-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2020-09-01
• Baeboo estimated 21% on 2020-09-01
• Baeboo estimated 8% on 2020-10-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 9% on 2020-10-11
• Baeboo estimated 14% on 2020-11-20
• Baeboo estimated 11% on 2020-12-13
• two2thehead estimated 10% on 2020-12-14
• jbeshir estimated 4% on 2021-01-24
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2021-01-24
• Baeboo estimated 7% on 2021-01-24
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-04-04.
• two2thehead said “This regime really wants to stick around” on 2021-04-04