Sweden to have a stay-at-home lockdown by the end of April

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-04-10; known on 2020-05-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ on 2020-05-01.

• JoshuaZ estimated 55% on 2020-04-10
• JoshuaZ said “Note: Owen predicts 70% chance. ” on 2020-04-10
• qznc said “Too vague for me. Would a no-contact lockdown like Germany result in right or wrong?” on 2020-04-11
• JoshuaZ said “I would classify that as right. The intended point is that right now Sweden has basically nothing. The prediction by Owen was that it will have changed substantially by then. If it turns out to be too ambiguous to reasonably dedice, will withdraw. ” on 2020-04-11
• aphel estimated 30% on 2020-04-12
• EvanWard97 estimated 70% on 2020-04-15
• JoshuaZ   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-05-01.