Donald Trump to win reelection with at least 49 US states voting for him.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-04; known on 2020-11-25; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-08.

• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2020-06-04
• JoshuaZ said “Rajiv suggests 90% confidence of this event https://www.facebook.com/jes.scott.902/posts/637934153742632?comment_id=638253470377367 ” on 2020-06-04
• Mathieu_Putz estimated 0% and said “(chance conditional on fair elections)” on 2020-06-04
• chemotaxis101 estimated 5% on 2020-06-04
• deoh estimated 0% on 2020-06-06
• PseudonymousUser estimated 20% and said “Bernie Sanders :D” on 2020-06-09
• sty.silver estimated 1% and said “You can’t condition on fair election. You don’t evaluate the result.” on 2020-06-09
• enolan estimated 0% on 2020-06-11
• MultiplyByZer0 estimated 0% on 2020-06-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 0% on 2020-06-13
• NickN estimated 2% on 2020-08-17
• Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-09-13
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-08.