Politics, US – Trump loses the US Presidential Election in 2020, and then either delays inauguration of his successor beyond the end of January 2020 or enacts a policy/declaration they describe as intended to do so.
Created by jbeshir on 2020-06-05; known on 2021-02-01; judged right by MultiplyByZer0 on 2021-04-02.
- jbeshir estimated 1% on 2020-06-05
- jbeshir changed the deadline from “on 2021-02-01” and changed their prediction from “Politics, US – Trump loses the US Presidential Election in 2020, and then either delays inauguration of his successor beyond the end of January 2020 or enacts a policy they describe as intended to do so.” on 2020-06-05
- jbeshir said “Notably excludes any empty bluster about delay on Twitter; it must either actually happen OR have something intended to result in it both announced and actually executed.” on 2020-06-05
- deoh estimated 10% on 2020-06-06
- MultiplyByZer0 estimated 0% on 2020-06-12
- jamesrom estimated 0% on 2020-06-12
- NickN estimated 20% on 2020-08-16
- jbeshir judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-24.
- MultiplyByZer0 said “Trump did lose, and the following attempts to overturn the election should count as intending to delay inauguration of his successor. Also, the inauguration was in January 2021, which is beyond the end of January 2020 as stated in the prediction.” on 2021-04-02
- MultiplyByZer0 judged this prediction right on 2021-04-02.