At least 10k people are living on Mars by the end of 2049.

Created by Mathieu_Putz on 2020-06-06; known on 2049-12-31

  • Mathieu_Putz estimated 10% on 2020-06-06
  • Mathieu_Putz said “One scenario how this could happen is by sending the first 4 people around 2030 and then sending around 2.5 times more people in every single subsequent window (there should be roughly 8 more after that) and everyone staying there. Seems ambitious.on 2020-06-06
  • Baeboo estimated 6% on 2020-06-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2020-06-07
  • sortega estimated 1% on 2020-06-07
  • Mathieu_Putz estimated 5% on 2020-06-07
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 6% and said “Maybe dozens, hundreds, but definitely don’t think thousands.on 2020-06-09
  • pvoberstein estimated 5% on 2020-06-13

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