At least 10k people are living on Mars by the end of 2049.

Created by Mathieu_Putz on 2020-06-06; known on 2049-12-31

• Mathieu_Putz estimated 10% on 2020-06-06
• Mathieu_Putz said “One scenario how this could happen is by sending the first 4 people around 2030 and then sending around 2.5 times more people in every single subsequent window (there should be roughly 8 more after that) and everyone staying there. Seems ambitious.” on 2020-06-06
• Baeboo estimated 6% on 2020-06-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2020-06-07
• sortega estimated 1% on 2020-06-07
• Mathieu_Putz estimated 5% on 2020-06-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% and said “Maybe dozens, hundreds, but definitely don’t think thousands.” on 2020-06-09
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2020-06-13