North Korea invades South Korea before the end of 2020
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-06-09; known 27 days ago; judged wrong by Bruno Parga 27 days ago.
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 53% on 2020-06-09
- JoshuaZ estimated 6% on 2020-06-09
- MultiplyByZer0 estimated 0% on 2020-06-12
- EloiseRosen estimated 4% on 2020-06-14
- Michal_Dubrawski estimated 0% on 2020-06-21
- azatris estimated 0% on 2020-06-23
- Medea estimated 3% on 2020-07-09
- Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 21% on 2020-07-13
- Cato said “@Tapetum-Lucidum: Seems high. What have you learned? Also, what counts as “invasion”? For example, would an incursion by ground troops count if its objectives were limited and temporary (like a recapturing a defector)?” on 2020-07-14
- Tapetum-Lucidum said “Am I being held accountable? Ugh. ” on 2020-07-14
- Tapetum-Lucidum said “No, that would not count. Has to be multiple humans from NK military setting foot in SK, with intention of occupying territory until further notice. ” on 2020-07-14
- Deepak estimated 2% on 2020-07-14
- Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-07-14
- JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2020-07-15
- two2thehead estimated 2% on 2020-07-15
- Cato estimated 1% on 2020-07-15
- NickN estimated 1% on 2020-08-17
- Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-08-17
- Bruno Parga estimated 0% on 2020-09-13
- chemotaxis101 estimated 1% on 2020-09-13
- Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-12-13
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong 27 days ago.
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