Elizabeth Warren is Joe Biden's running mate

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 22 days ago; known on 2020-11-01

  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 70% 22 days ago
  • HonoreDB estimated 28% 22 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 90% 22 days ago
  • sty.silver said “^ why?21 days ago
  • pvoberstein estimated 40% 21 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 12% 20 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “@sty: the three main topics of this election are likely to be police brutality, public health, and the economy. By my count, most VP candidates can help with at most of one of these issues. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “For instance, Val Demings is one of the most credible VP candidates from the perspective of the first issue; she is black, she is a woman, she was a police chief, and she is currently a congresswoman. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “For public health, most of the VP candidates who are promising are governors, but they are less well known, and may not help his prospects as much with the voting public, because of this. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “In the longer term, Elizabeth Warren makes sense, from an economic policy standpoint: she cares about the well-being of the poor and middle class, and she has a wealth of policy experience.19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Stacy Abrams and Keisha Lance Bottoms are also contenders for the VP ticket. However, given that Joe Biden almost 78, it is possible that the VP would become president. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Given that Abrams and Lance Bottoms have only had experience in the mayoral level and state legislature, this becomes a dicey proposition. For example, are they prepared to handle the economy, the coronavirus, police brutality, and foreign policy? 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “From my perspective, Elizabeth Warren is the most plausible choice from a policy perspective, although yes she is “old and white” and does not have the perspective of those who are not both of those. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Val Demings is the second most likely, in my view, and would be first, if she had as much experience as Warren. 19 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Harris is not on the list at all, and for good reason. 19 days ago
  • sty.silver said “Thanks. I certainly hope you’re right. (Although being right by itself wouldn’t get you to 90%, you also need Biden to be savvy enough to conclude the same.)19 days ago
  • JohnGreer estimated 30% 19 days ago
  • MultiplyByZer0 estimated 3% 18 days ago
  • Tapetum-Lucidum said “Just realized, this is a duplicate of https://predictionbook.com/predictions/19894814 days ago
  • neilscott estimated 12% 14 days ago
  • azatris estimated 5% 14 days ago
  • nabokof estimated 35% 13 days ago
  • lettergram estimated 50% 10 days ago

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