By June 2022, I judge that Human Challenge Trials are attributable to making the date I personally get a COVID-19 vaccine earlier than it otherwise would've been without Human Challenge Trials
Created by peter_hurford on 2020-06-20; known on 2022-06-01; judged wrong by peter_hurford on 2022-06-06.
- peter_hurford estimated 10% on 2020-06-20
- JoshuaZ estimated 8% on 2020-06-20
- peter_hurford judged this prediction wrong on 2022-06-06.
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