Scott Alexander will be doxed by the NYT

Created by akarlin 18 days ago; known 3 days ago; judged wrong by Deepak 3 days ago.

  • akarlin estimated 40% 18 days ago
  • sty.silver estimated 15% and said “I assume this resolves as false if there is no article at all in 15 days.18 days ago
  • Adam Zerner estimated 70% 18 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 45% 17 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 10% 17 days ago
  • azatris estimated 25% 17 days ago
  • Deepak estimated 20% 17 days ago
  • kruasan estimated 99% 16 days ago
  • enolan estimated 80% and said “my intuition is that the times wants to appear immune to outside pressure.15 days ago
  • jbeshir estimated 27% 14 days ago
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 45% 11 days ago
  • qznc estimated 50% 10 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 14% 10 days ago
  • contra estimated 25% and said “They’ll take the hint and not publish his name. However, if the Times digs up information about Alexander that’s more newsworthy than his blog, then his name’s going into print.10 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 20% 10 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 30% 9 days ago
  • Deepak   judged this prediction wrong 3 days ago.

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