PredictionBook is now read-only ( read more ).

At the end of the year, all SlateStarCodex archives are rehosted by Scott on SlateStarCodex or some other site (third-party created archives don't count) AND Scott has written at least one new post on SlateStarCodex or this new site

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-06-24; known on 2021-01-02; judged wrong by peter_hurford on 2021-01-03.

  • peter_hurford estimated 80% on 2020-06-24
  • peter_hurford changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” and changed their prediction from “SlateStarCodex archives are back, live, by the end of the year” on 2020-06-24
  • peter_hurford changed the deadline from “on 2021-01-01” and changed their prediction from “All SlateStarCodex archives are rehosted by Scott on SlateStarCodex or some other site (third-party created archives don't count) AND Scott writes at least one new post on SlateStarCodex or this new site” on 2020-06-24
  • azatris estimated 98% on 2020-06-24
  • Deepak estimated 90% on 2020-06-24
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 75% and said “Conjunction. I give the first part very-high if Scott doesn’t get doxxed, 60% if he does, but the second part is around 90% / 20%.” on 2020-06-24
  • Arthurpipsy said “ <a href=https://ketodietspro.com/>keto diet</a> ” on 2020-06-24
  • JoshuaZ estimated 78% on 2020-06-25
  • Terryjah said “Ремонт топливной аппаратуры, топливных насосов высокого давления, форсунок, топливных рамп и т.д. <a href=http://remont-toplivnoj-apparatury.ru/>http://remont-toplivnoj-apparatury.ru/</a>” on 2020-06-25
  • srconstantin estimated 75% on 2020-06-29
  • qznc estimated 80% on 2020-06-30
  • Vishivkabof said “Hello dear friend! Sorry to intrude, but I want to find new friends all over the world. Dear my future friends! Do you think it is possible to establish a friendship through this site? Waiting for feedback under this post.” on 2020-07-02
  • Bouijes said “https://usassndob.ru – dumpswithpin2017 b453@a” on 2020-07-05
  • Bouijes said “https://usassndob.ru – ltdccshop b453@a-11” on 2020-07-05
  • Medea estimated 75% on 2020-07-09
  • ayegill estimated 60% on 2020-07-16
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 65% and said “More spam on these comments than most predictions, I wonder why.” on 2020-07-16
  • amadeu estimated 70% on 2020-07-17
  • wizzwizz4 estimated 90% and said “Slate Star Codex is kind of back up again, in the sense that old links now work. I’m only not higher because he could still be doxxed before he writes another post, and might take stuff down before the end of the year.” on 2020-07-27
  • Andrewwet said “http://ebushkin.xyz/categories/%D0%96%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B5/ <a href=http://ebushkin.xyz/>РїРѕСЂРЅРѕ девушка шлюха</a> ” on 2020-07-27
  • Baeboo estimated 90% on 2020-07-28
  • CraigFum said “http://zhahach.club/categories/%D0%A1%D1%82%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D1%8B/ <a href=http://zhahach.club/>секс РїРѕСЂРЅРѕ смотреть бесплатно скачать</a> ” on 2020-07-29
  • PlacidPlatypus said “Archives are back up, but no new posts as far as I know so looks like this is wrong.” on 2021-01-02
  • PlacidPlatypus said “Unless the situation update counts? I’m inclined to say it doesn’t but maybe I should leave it for the creator of the prediction to make the call.” on 2021-01-02
  • peter_hurford   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-03.
  • peter_hurford said “While the site is back up, there are no new posts (I take the update to not count)” on 2021-01-03