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Vox Media publishes an article on one of their official news sites about the SSC-NYT affair by the end of the year

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-06-24; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by peter_hurford on 2021-01-03.

  • peter_hurford estimated 20% on 2020-06-24
  • azatris estimated 5% on 2020-06-24
  • JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2020-06-25
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 35% on 2020-07-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 14% on 2020-07-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 14% and said “Updating on the SSC-NYT thing not going away as fast as I initially expected. on 2020-07-08
  • peter_hurford   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-01-03.