Ghislane Maxwell will die by the end of the year 12/31

Created by daveisright on 2020-07-02; known on 2020-12-31

  • daveisright estimated 40% on 2020-07-02
  • JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2020-07-02
  • HonoreDB estimated 10% on 2020-07-02
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 55% on 2020-07-03
  • JohnGreer estimated 35% on 2020-07-06
  • Baeboo estimated 14% on 2020-07-07
  • azatris estimated 8% on 2020-07-08
  • stepan estimated 14% on 2020-07-08
  • bobpage estimated 5% on 2020-07-09
  • Deepak estimated 5% on 2020-07-09
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 18% on 2020-07-09
  • Baeboo estimated 10% on 2020-07-10
  • gwillen estimated 5% on 2020-07-11
  • JoshuaZ said “Relevant https://nypost.com/2020/07/12/ghislaine-maxwell-reportedly-being-moved-from-cell-to-cell/ Not sure if this is evidence to update for or against. on 2020-07-12
  • Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 60% on 2020-07-13
  • Baeboo estimated 15% on 2020-07-13
  • ayegill estimated 5% on 2020-07-16
  • Baeboo estimated 13% on 2020-07-16
  • JoshuaZ estimated 11% on 2020-07-24
  • Baeboo estimated 11% on 2020-07-25
  • jamesrom estimated 0% and said “1 in 1000. rounding down.on 2020-08-25
  • rappatoni estimated 0% and said “By suicide: 0.023% per prisoner per year in US. Say risk is increased by factor 10 => ~ 0.1%. This is an overestimate: isolation, constant surveillance. By third party: extremely risky, cover up near impossible => <0.1%. Round down => 0%on 2020-08-25
  • Baeboo estimated 9% on 2020-08-25
  • Baeboo estimated 5% 11 days ago
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “If it was going to happen, would likely have already happened. If hasn’t happened by November 1st, then will round down to 0%.10 days ago

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