Ghislane Maxwell will die by the end of the year 12/31

Created by daveisright on 2020-07-02; known on 2020-12-31; judged wrong by two2thehead on 2020-12-31.

• daveisright estimated 40% on 2020-07-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2020-07-02
• HonoreDB estimated 10% on 2020-07-02
• PseudonymousUser estimated 55% on 2020-07-03
• JohnGreer estimated 35% on 2020-07-06
• Baeboo estimated 14% on 2020-07-07
• azatris estimated 8% on 2020-07-08
• stepan estimated 14% on 2020-07-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 5% on 2020-07-09
• Deepak estimated 5% on 2020-07-09
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 18% on 2020-07-09
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2020-07-10
• gwillen estimated 5% on 2020-07-11
• JoshuaZ said “Relevant https://nypost.com/2020/07/12/ghislaine-maxwell-reportedly-being-moved-from-cell-to-cell/ Not sure if this is evidence to update for or against. ” on 2020-07-12
• PseudonymousUser estimated 60% on 2020-07-13
• Baeboo estimated 15% on 2020-07-13
• ayegill estimated 5% on 2020-07-16
• Baeboo estimated 13% on 2020-07-16
• JoshuaZ estimated 11% on 2020-07-24
• Baeboo estimated 11% on 2020-07-25
• jamesrom estimated 0% and said “1 in 1000. rounding down.” on 2020-08-25
• rappatoni estimated 0% and said “By suicide: 0.023% per prisoner per year in US. Say risk is increased by factor 10 => ~ 0.1%. This is an overestimate: isolation, constant surveillance. By third party: extremely risky, cover up near impossible => <0.1%. Round down => 0%” on 2020-08-25
• Baeboo estimated 9% on 2020-08-25
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2020-10-11
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% and said “If it was going to happen, would likely have already happened. If hasn’t happened by November 1st, then will round down to 0%.” on 2020-10-11
• Baeboo estimated 1% on 2020-11-19
• najdorf estimated 1% and said “Let’s make this an annual prediction.” on 2020-12-29
• Baeboo estimated 0% on 2020-12-30
• two2thehead said ““Ghislaine Maxwell Not ‘Fully Candid’ on Finances, Judge Says”” on 2020-12-31
• two2thehead said “source: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-12-30/ghislaine-maxwell-not-fully-candid-on-finances-judge-says” on 2020-12-31
• two2thehead said “I’m taking this to mean that she’s still alive” on 2020-12-31
• two2thehead   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-12-31.