Delhi will be a relative COVID haven on Oct 10, 2020 and safe enough to go into the office and hang out with small groups

Created by katriel on 2020-07-11; known on 2020-10-10; judged wrong by katriel on 2020-10-10.

• katriel estimated 30% on 2020-07-11
• adzee estimated 15% on 2020-07-12
• EloiseRosen said “This seems hard to resolve. What specific measurable things do you mean by “safe enough” and “relative”?” on 2020-07-18
• katriel said “@EloiseRosen, very fair—I didn’t want to take the time to think of how I’d operationalize this. One idea: pick some science-conscious employers in Delhi and ask if the majority are asking staff to come in. Let’s say World Bank, J-PAL, IDinsight. ” on 2020-07-25
• katriel   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-10-10.