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Delhi will be a relative COVID haven on Oct 10, 2020 and safe enough to go into the office and hang out with small groups

Created by katriel on 2020-07-11; known on 2020-10-10; judged wrong by katriel on 2020-10-10.

  • katriel estimated 30% on 2020-07-11
  • adzee estimated 15% on 2020-07-12
  • EloiseRosen said “This seems hard to resolve. What specific measurable things do you mean by “safe enough” and “relative”?on 2020-07-18
  • katriel said “@EloiseRosen, very fair—I didn’t want to take the time to think of how I’d operationalize this. One idea: pick some science-conscious employers in Delhi and ask if the majority are asking staff to come in. Let’s say World Bank, J-PAL, IDinsight. on 2020-07-25
  • katriel   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-10-10.