One or more participants in the Twitter hack is revealed to have been an employee of the Russian government

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-07-18; known on 2028-01-31

• Tapetum-Lucidum estimated 15% on 2020-07-18
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “The stories don’t line up, so it not entirely clear who they are. Compare this one with “Kirk”: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/17/technology/twitter-hackers-interview.html” on 2020-07-18
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “To this one: https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/jgxd3d/twitter-insider-access-panel-account-hacks-biden-uber-bezos” on 2020-07-18
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “Not clear if any of them are who they claim to be. Of course, we may never find out who they are. ” on 2020-07-18
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “I predicted 15%, as opposed to lower, because it is an election year, and Joe Biden’s account was among those hacked, and because the Russians have used cut-outs (false personas) to interfere before. ” on 2020-07-18
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “In this case, the inconsistent narrative across these published stories feels reminiscent of the inconsistencies with Guccifer 2.0 in 2016. But this is just a hunch.” on 2020-07-18
• Tapetum-Lucidum said “And even if it’s true, that doesn’t mean it will be conclusively demonstrated by this predictioneer’s deadline.” on 2020-07-18
• ayegill estimated 10% and said “Seems like very little was accomplished poltically, while a lot could have been achieved fairly easily.” on 2020-07-18
• EloiseRosen estimated 9% and said “same reason as ayegill” on 2020-07-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 9% and said “Per ayegill. ” on 2020-07-18
• Deepak estimated 5% on 2020-07-18
• Baeboo estimated 2% on 2020-07-19
• azatris estimated 5% on 2020-07-20

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