Biden will drop out of the race before election day Nov 3.

Created by Ender Wiggin on 2020-07-27; known on 2020-11-03; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-03.

• Ender Wiggin estimated 30% on 2020-07-27
• CoreyS estimated 40% on 2020-08-02
• amadeu estimated 2% on 2020-08-12
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% and said “Does this count if he dies without formally dropping out beforehand? Assuming yes for now.” on 2020-08-14
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2020-08-15
• NickN estimated 5% on 2020-08-16
• arrowinthedark estimated 2% on 2020-08-22
• TracyPoff estimated 2% on 2020-09-04
• Baeboo estimated 10% on 2020-09-04
• Baeboo estimated 5% on 2020-10-11
• sty.silver estimated 1% on 2020-10-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Now rounds down to zero. (Actual value is about 0.4%) ” on 2020-10-13
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 1% on 2020-10-13
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-03.