Russia's virus vaccine will be successful

Created by peterk13 on 2020-08-02; known on 2020-09-30; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-23.

• peterk13 estimated 50% on 2020-08-02
• NickN said “Interesting question. How do you define “successful”? I mean, how much and how long must it protect the vaccinated from an infection to be successful, how safe does it have to be, or do you mean economic success, like how well does it sell?” on 2020-08-16
• Bruno Parga estimated 1% and said “https://cattiviscienziati.com/2020/09/07/note-of-concern/amp/?__twitter_impression=true” on 2020-09-13
• chemotaxis101 estimated 5% on 2020-09-13
• Bruno Parga said “Gonna judge this as wrong since it hasn’t happened by the deadline.” on 2020-11-23
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-23.