PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

I'll finish reading Superforecasting this week

Created by fandangos on 2020-08-10; known on 2020-08-16; judged right by fandangos on 2020-08-16.

fandangos estimated 76% on 2020-08-10
Adam Zerner estimated 90% on 2020-08-11
fandangos judged this prediction right on 2020-08-16.

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