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[On the day their election prediction model is released, FiveThirtyEight will have Biden with a] 50-70% chance of winning

Created by amadeu on 2020-08-12; known on 2020-08-14; judged wrong by amadeu on 2020-08-12.

  • amadeu estimated 5% on 2020-08-12
  • amadeu said “[will be judged according to the topline forecast]” on 2020-08-12
  • amadeu   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-08-12.