New Mersenne prime discovered by January 1, 2016.

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-07-06; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by Jach on 2016-01-10.

• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2013-07-06
• JoshuaZ said “Extrapolating from base rate http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mersenne_prime#List_of_known_Mersenne_primes” on 2013-07-06
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% on 2013-07-06
• JoshuaZ said “Well, damn, that typo is going to wreck my accuracy something fierce. ” on 2013-07-06
• Michael Dickens estimated 50% on 2013-07-08
• Jach   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-01-10.