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at least one of my housemates will catch covid-19 in the next two weeks

Created by enolan on 2020-08-19; known on 2020-09-02; judged wrong by enolan on 2020-09-03.

  • enolan estimated 2% on 2020-08-19
  • enolan estimated 1% on 2020-08-20
  • enolan   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-09-03.