SpaceX Crew-1 will dock with the ISS before November 1 2020

Created by finback on 2020-08-28; known on 2020-11-01; judged wrong by chemotaxis101 on 2020-11-01.

• finback estimated 62% on 2020-08-28
• finback said “NASA estimated the demo flight loss-of-mission as 1 in 60, so I think delays are the major factor to consider.” on 2020-08-28
• chemotaxis101 estimated 75% on 2020-09-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 65% on 2020-09-08
• chemotaxis101   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-01.