Mitt Romney will endorse Joe Biden before the 2020 election

Created by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-30; known on 2020-11-03; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-11-03.

• arrowinthedark estimated 70% on 2020-08-30
• product estimated 1% and said “I think even if he wanted to it would be political suicide to do so” on 2020-09-01
• JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2020-09-01
• chemotaxis101 estimated 10% on 2020-09-07
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 8% and said “He might vote for him but a public endorsement would surprise me.” on 2020-09-08
• najdorf estimated 70% on 2020-09-10
• JTPeterson estimated 80% on 2020-09-10
• limbo estimated 27% and said “@Product, he attended a BLM protest and has shown some anti-establishment GOP tendencies recently. Relatively.” on 2020-09-14
• FrancinePefko estimated 80% on 2020-09-21
• Deepak estimated 40% on 2020-09-21
• lalaithion estimated 10% on 2020-10-14
• sty.silver estimated 25% on 2020-10-15
• JoshuaZ estimated 12% and said “If he was going to do it, I would have expected him to do so by now. ” on 2020-10-15
• sty.silver estimated 15% and said “Good point” on 2020-10-16
• PlacidPlatypus said “I could see him waiting until a dramatic moment for higher impact but it just doesn’t seem that likely overall. Also with early voting in progress the timing is getting pretty tight even for that.” on 2020-10-20
• Deepak said “Romney has stated that he did not vote for Trump, but I think it’s probably short of an endorsement of Biden” on 2020-10-22
• PlacidPlatypus said “Agreed.” on 2020-11-03
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-03.