Toby Ord comments on my post to clarify what he actually believes
- Michael Dickens estimated 25% on 2020-09-03
- Michael Dickens said “See https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/9AYmbh25eKLojeQGe/disappointing-futures-might-be-as-important-as-existential” on 2020-09-03
- Michael Dickens said “I wrote this prediction because I tried on infer what Toby Ord believes about some things based on what he wrote in The Precipice” on 2020-09-03
- Michael Dickens judged this prediction wrong on 2020-10-03.
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