Greta Thunberg will win the Nobel Peace Prize.
Created by najdorf on 2020-09-10; known on 2020-10-09; judged right by Liging on 2020-11-15.
- najdorf estimated 80% on 2020-09-10
- Helios estimated 45% on 2020-09-14
- limbo estimated 83% on 2020-09-14
- JoshuaZ estimated 35% on 2020-09-15
- Deepak estimated 20% on 2020-09-16
- Liging estimated 30% and said “I give Donald J. Trump 60% Chance and other nominees 10%, since every president of the US since the end of WW2 has received the Nobel PEace Prize” on 2020-09-18
- PlacidPlatypus said “@Liging pretty sure that’s wrong, https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Nobel_Peace_Prize_laureates only gives Jimmy Carter and Barack Obama as US presidents who have received the Peace Prize since WWII. Are you thinking of getting nominated?” on 2020-09-18
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2020-10-09.
- Liging judged this prediction right on 2020-10-12.
- Liging said “I was wrong on Donald J Trump; Relized later that pretty often the Peace prize is given many times to organizations. Every president has been NOMINATED, not AWARDED the prize, my bad” on 2020-10-12
- Baeboo judged this prediction wrong on 2020-10-13.
- Liging judged this prediction right on 2020-11-15.
- Liging judged this prediction right on 2020-11-15.