Critical failure of the Three Gorges Dam by 2030

Created by jamesrom on 2020-09-29; known on 2030-01-01

• jamesrom estimated 85% on 2020-09-29
• jamesrom said ““Critical failure” defined as any compromise in safety that captures public attention and require large engineering works to repair, e.g., dam wall fault (not necessarily collapse) or worse, e.g., loss of life, catastrophic failure, etc.” on 2020-09-29
• chemotaxis101 estimated 75% on 2020-10-26
• Baeboo estimated 30% on 2020-10-26
• finback estimated 23% on 2020-10-27