China NOT to conduct overt military action against Taiwan before 2026

Created by niconiconi on 2020-10-16; known on 2026-01-01

  • niconiconi estimated 30% on 2020-10-16
  • niconiconi changed the deadline from “on 2026-01-01” and changed their prediction from “China to conduct overt military action against Taiwan before 2026” on 2020-10-24
  • niconiconi estimated 70% and said “Update: changed the prediction from positive (to conduct) to negative (not to conduct), so it can be judged “correct” if I’m right… on 2020-10-24
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 75% on 2020-10-26

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