No further debates take place between Trump and Biden
Created by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-10-20; known on 2020-11-05; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-10-26.
- PlacidPlatypus estimated 40% on 2020-10-20
- PlacidPlatypus said “In light of https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1318340294832771072” on 2020-10-20
- sty.silver estimated 25% and said “Maybe. But chickening out of a Debate seems like the kind of thing that would really hurt Trump.” on 2020-10-21
- jbeshir estimated 20% on 2020-10-21
- chemotaxis101 estimated 10% on 2020-10-26
- PlacidPlatypus said “@chemotaxis101: A) it’s kind of cheating to put in a prediction after a definitive answer is already known and B) Given you have that much of an advantage surely you can do better than 90% confidence?” on 2020-10-26
- PlacidPlatypus judged this prediction wrong on 2020-10-26.