By 1 January 2014, I will have at least 20,000 comment karma on Reddit.

Created by Michael Dickens on 2013-07-08; known on 2014-01-01; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2014-01-01.

• Michael Dickens estimated 5% on 2013-07-08
• Michael Dickens   judged this prediction wrong on 2014-01-01.