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The first randomized clinical trials of Vitamin D supplementation for COVID-19 will show a significant effect on the primary endpoint.

Created by srconstantin on 2020-10-27; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by srconstantin on 2020-11-17.

  • srconstantin estimated 25% on 2020-10-27
  • sty.silver estimated 80% on 2020-10-28
  • Deepak said “Statistically significant? Or any effect size threshold? The former is more a question of sample size than anything on 2020-10-28
  • two2thehead said “Needs clarification. There’s a major difference between 10 IUs and 10,000 IUs. Then there’s the question of whether the dose is daily or weekly or monthlyon 2020-11-02
  • srconstantin said “I’m defining this as “true” if there’s a statistically significant result at any dose & schedule.on 2020-11-02
  • Deepak estimated 60% on 2020-11-02
  • srconstantin said “ 2020-11-17
  • srconstantin   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-11-17.