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Kamala Harris will be president on Nov. 1, 2021.

Created by ren on 2020-11-01; known on 2021-11-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2021-11-01.

  • ren estimated 90% on 2020-11-01
  • sty.silver estimated 5% on 2020-11-02
  • two2thehead estimated 25% and said “Waaaay too soonon 2020-11-02
  • jbeshir estimated 7% on 2020-11-02
  • srconstantin estimated 5% on 2020-11-02
  • Deepak estimated 4% on 2020-11-02
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2020-11-02
  • sjy estimated 10% on 2020-11-02
  • Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-11-03
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% on 2020-11-03
  • PlacidPlatypus said “People seem to really like this conspiracy theory for some reason.on 2020-11-03
  • peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2020-11-03
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 1% on 2020-11-07
  • db7890 said “PlacidPlatypus seems to label as a conspiracy theory, but then decides to assign an actual probability of chance?on 2020-11-08
  • PlacidPlatypus said “@db7890 Biden’s fairly old- anything could happen. The conspiracy theory is that this is something someone (Harris? The Democratic Party in general? IDK) is actually planning to have happen.on 2020-11-08
  • JohnGreer estimated 27% on 2020-11-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2020-11-08
  • PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2020-11-09
  • miro estimated 3% on 2020-11-13
  • najdorf estimated 1% on 2021-01-03
  • PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-11-01.