Kamala Harris will be president on Nov. 1, 2021.

Created by ren on 2020-11-01; known on 2021-11-01; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2021-11-01.

• ren estimated 90% on 2020-11-01
• sty.silver estimated 5% on 2020-11-02
• two2thehead estimated 25% and said “Waaaay too soon” on 2020-11-02
• jbeshir estimated 7% on 2020-11-02
• srconstantin estimated 5% on 2020-11-02
• Deepak estimated 4% on 2020-11-02
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2020-11-02
• sjy estimated 10% on 2020-11-02
• Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-11-03
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 3% on 2020-11-03
• PlacidPlatypus said “People seem to really like this conspiracy theory for some reason.” on 2020-11-03
• peter_hurford estimated 1% on 2020-11-03
• chemotaxis101 estimated 1% on 2020-11-07
• db7890 said “PlacidPlatypus seems to label as a conspiracy theory, but then decides to assign an actual probability of chance?” on 2020-11-08
• PlacidPlatypus said “@db7890 Biden’s fairly old- anything could happen. The conspiracy theory is that this is something someone (Harris? The Democratic Party in general? IDK) is actually planning to have happen.” on 2020-11-08
• JohnGreer estimated 27% on 2020-11-08
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2020-11-08
• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2020-11-09
• miro estimated 3% on 2020-11-13
• najdorf estimated 1% on 2021-01-03
• PlacidPlatypus   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-11-01.