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My election-related PredictIt bets are profitable (see clearer definition in comment)

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-11-03; known on 2021-01-01

  • peter_hurford estimated 95% on 2020-11-03
  • peter_hurford said “Clearer definition [1/2]: Money successfully withdrawn from PredictIt from election-related bets exceeds the amount of money I would’ve got if I took the money spent on betting and invested it in the S&P 500…on 2020-11-03
  • peter_hurford said “Clearer definition [2/2] …instead for the same time period as of the actual withdrawal date, with this value being $0 if no money is successfully withdrawn by EOD 31 Dec 2020on 2020-11-03
  • peter_hurford withdrew the prediction on 2021-01-03