@iabvek's presential and senate forecasts (see https://twitter.com/iabvek/status/1323522647678873600) will jointly hve a higher (i.e., worse/less accurate) Brier score than 538's forecast

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-11-03; known on 2020-11-14; judged right by peter_hurford on 2020-11-14.

• peter_hurford estimated 60% on 2020-11-03
• peter_hurford said “https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GwIyOM97bQhEVN6fPc6MYHELd9qQj8GEvdLy9N_I1uY/edit#gid” on 2020-11-14
• peter_hurford   judged this prediction right on 2020-11-14.