@iabvek's presential and senate forecasts (see https://twitter.com/iabvek/status/1323522647678873600) will jointly hve a higher (i.e., worse/less accurate) Brier score than 538's forecast
- peter_hurford estimated 60% 25 days ago
- peter_hurford said “https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1GwIyOM97bQhEVN6fPc6MYHELd9qQj8GEvdLy9N_I1uY/edit#gid” 15 days ago
- peter_hurford judged this prediction right 15 days ago.
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