Politics, US – Trump wins a majority of the electoral college votes before February 2021.

Created by jbeshir 21 days ago; known on 2021-02-01

  • jbeshir estimated 2% 21 days ago
  • jbeshir said “Created due to ambiguity in open questions; this one explicitly settles only when the electoral college votes. Designed to capture doubt relating to lawsuits or any other attempts to challenge the election.21 days ago
  • jbeshir said “(Or, well, it’d also settle if they were prevented from voting before the start of February, via any means, to give it some maximum time horizon.)21 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 10% 21 days ago
  • sty.silver estimated 1% 21 days ago
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 2% 21 days ago
  • PlacidPlatypus estimated 2% 20 days ago
  • Liging estimated 3% and said “He only needs a minimum of 22k votes to flip, keep that in mind.16 days ago
  • PlacidPlatypus said “@Liging how do you figure? He’d need more than that just to flip Arizona and Georgia, and even then it’s a losing map.16 days ago
  • Baeboo estimated 6% 7 days ago
  • Deepak estimated 1% 7 days ago

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