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[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 1.25M

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10; known on 2022-01-15; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2021-04-30.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 50% on 2020-11-10
  • nortriptyline2 estimated 85% on 2020-11-10
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 50% on 2020-11-10
  • Baeboo estimated 33% on 2020-11-10
  • platypus42 estimated 75% and said “Tbh I think the chances are higher than this, but it’s possible countries will start underreporting deaths (even more) to avoid criticism about vaccine access. on 2020-11-29
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2021-04-30.
  • Bruno Parga said “To address platypus42’s concern: I will judge this prediction set based on officially reported numbers by countries. I agree it is an imperfect measure, but it is easy.on 2021-04-30