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[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 10M

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10; known on 2022-01-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-12-31.

  • Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2020-11-10
  • nortriptyline2 estimated 20% on 2020-11-10
  • chemotaxis101 estimated 2% on 2020-11-10
  • Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-11-10
  • platypus42 estimated 4% and said “4% is pretty high for this, but trying to account for unforeseen events like a new strain of the virus that’s more viral/doesn’t respond to vaccine, etc. on 2020-11-29
  • Bruno Parga estimated 8% on 2021-04-30
  • Baeboo estimated 2% on 2021-05-01
  • Baeboo estimated 1% on 2021-05-09
  • Bruno Parga estimated 4% on 2021-07-01
  • Bruno Parga said “April me, what were you thinking, dude??on 2021-12-31
  • Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-31.