[The covid death toll during 2021 will be more than] 10M
Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-11-10; known on 2022-01-15; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2021-12-31.
- Bruno Parga estimated 1% on 2020-11-10
- nortriptyline2 estimated 20% on 2020-11-10
- chemotaxis101 estimated 2% on 2020-11-10
- Baeboo estimated 3% on 2020-11-10
- platypus42 estimated 4% and said “4% is pretty high for this, but trying to account for unforeseen events like a new strain of the virus that’s more viral/doesn’t respond to vaccine, etc. ” on 2020-11-29
- Bruno Parga estimated 8% on 2021-04-30
- Baeboo estimated 2% on 2021-05-01
- Baeboo estimated 1% on 2021-05-09
- Bruno Parga estimated 4% on 2021-07-01
- Bruno Parga said “April me, what were you thinking, dude??” on 2021-12-31
- Bruno Parga judged this prediction wrong on 2021-12-31.