A new technique for developing “conversational AI” neural networks will be popularized, whose generated content is less based on word-by-word prediction (like GPT-3) and more based on the semantics and concepts expressed by those words.

Created by topherhunt on 2020-12-12; known on 2022-12-31

  • topherhunt estimated 80% on 2020-12-12
  • platypus42 said “Can you specify what you mean by “popularized” here? Does it have to be as effective as GPT-3, or have as much media coverage as GPT-3, or something else? on 2020-12-15
  • topherhunt said “Clarification: by “popularized” I mean that a compelling proof-of-concept has been developed, announced, and made available for public interaction in some form. It doesn’t need to exceed GPT-3 in performance / realism / popular coverage.on 2020-12-15
  • platypus42 estimated 20% on 2020-12-15
  • sty.silver estimated 12% on 2020-12-15
  • sjy estimated 20% 25 days ago
  • sole21000 estimated 38% and said “Assuming deadline is end of 2022 and that technique can underperform and receive less media attention than GPT-3.19 days ago
  • jazzsolo estimated 25% 16 days ago

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