Politics, US – Donald Trump attempts to issue a pardon for himself before the end of the 20th of January 2021.
Created by jbeshir 15 days ago; known in 2 days
- jbeshir estimated 40% 15 days ago
- kallman estimated 30% and said “he “hasn’t done anything wrong”, pardoning himself would be admitting defeat, right?” 14 days ago
- JoshuaZ estimated 55% 13 days ago
- sole21000 estimated 35% and said “He will deny wrongdoing but justify the pardon as a necessary measure against “corrupt accusations” if so. ” 11 days ago
- Medea estimated 30% 10 days ago
- Deepak estimated 20% 10 days ago
- jazzsolo estimated 15% 9 days ago
- larssa estimated 25% and said “I have a hard time believing he’ll try to do this, but he’s proven me wrong before. ” 4 days ago
- sty.silver estimated 60% and said “I’m gonna say this is more likely than not.” 2 days ago
- aspire43 estimated 65% and said “The man seems to have a track record of taking every opportunity to cover his a**” 1 day ago
- D0TheMath estimated 10% about 19 hours ago
- D0TheMath said “Calibrating Metaculus’s community prediction of 40% to 10% using their calibration graph.” about 19 hours ago
- D0TheMath estimated 45% about 11 hours ago
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