There will not be a pandemic by Christmas 2021 (in at least half of all countries on a political map, according to their governments)

Created by wizzwizz4 on 2021-01-11; known on 2021-12-27; judged wrong by kallman on 2022-01-01.

• wizzwizz4 estimated 45% on 2021-01-11
• kallman estimated 20% and said “Somewhat hard to enumerate what does and doesn’t count as a country. Even places with widespread vaccination at that point won’t be “virus free”, right?” on 2021-01-18
• kallman   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-01-01.