CA Gov Gavin Newsom will have a recall effort reach the signature threshold needed for certification before March 31, 2022

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-21; known on 2021-04-15; judged right by D0TheMath on 2021-05-25.

• D0TheMath estimated 75% on 2021-01-21
• D0TheMath said “From here https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5979/ca-gov-newsom-petitioned-for-recall-election/” on 2021-01-21
• robm estimated 10% on 2021-01-30
• D0TheMath estimated 80% on 2021-01-31
• D0TheMath estimated 78% on 2021-01-31
• D0TheMath   judged this prediction right on 2021-05-25.