COVID, US – B117 to lock down ≥3M in US by 2021-03-11?

Created by jbeshir on 2021-01-31; known on 2021-03-11; judged wrong by jbeshir on 2021-03-15.

• jbeshir estimated 20% on 2021-01-31
• jbeshir said “Resolves per https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6104/b117-to-lock-down-3m-in-us-by-2021-03-11/ which defines the vague bits.” on 2021-01-31
• jbeshir   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-03-15.