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50% of people are vaccinated in 5 months

Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2021-07-06; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-07-14.

  • htaussig estimated 25% on 2021-02-07
  • iconreforged estimated 50% on 2021-02-14
  • azatris estimated 0% and said “Nothing has this sort of a coordination. Over 4B people? How would you know? Unless you magically count natural vaccinations (meaning having been through the disease and having built up antibodies).” on 2021-02-15
  • birdofparadise estimated 0% on 2021-05-10
  • stepan estimated 0% on 2021-07-10
  • htaussig   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-07-14.

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