50% of people are vaccinated in 5 months

Created by htaussig on 2021-02-07; known on 2021-07-06; judged wrong by htaussig on 2021-07-14.

• htaussig estimated 25% on 2021-02-07
• iconreforged estimated 50% on 2021-02-14
• azatris estimated 0% and said “Nothing has this sort of a coordination. Over 4B people? How would you know? Unless you magically count natural vaccinations (meaning having been through the disease and having built up antibodies).” on 2021-02-15
• birdofparadise estimated 0% on 2021-05-10
• stepan estimated 0% on 2021-07-10
• htaussig   judged this prediction wrong on 2021-07-14.