PredictionBook transitioning to read-only mode at the end of 2023 ( read more ).

Another baby born from an embryo publicly declared to have been modified with CRISPR (or another gene editing complex).

Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2022-01-01; judged wrong by krazemon on 2022-01-01.

  • krazemon estimated 3% on 2021-02-23
  • Konsti estimated 5% and said “Since no research facility announced planning editing a human embryo as far as I know this seems rather unlikely to happen again.” on 2021-04-02
  • krazemon   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-01-01.

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