PredictionBook is now read-only (

150 million first doses of COVID vaccines administered by June 1st (as measured by COVID tracking project: or an alternative if this goes away).

Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2021-06-01; judged right by krazemon on 2021-03-31.

  • krazemon estimated 40% on 2021-02-23
  • krazemon said “Judging this right: we are at 148 million today so pretty clear it’s going to happen unless we ban the vaccines in the next day (in which case will update the judgement).on 2021-03-31
  • krazemon said “Note that this should’ve specified in the US…on 2021-03-31
  • krazemon   judged this prediction right on 2021-03-31.