150 million first doses of COVID vaccines administered by June 1st (as measured by COVID tracking project: https://covid19-projections.com/infections/us or an alternative if this goes away).
- krazemon estimated 40% on 2021-02-23
- krazemon said “Judging this right: we are at 148 million today so pretty clear it’s going to happen unless we ban the vaccines in the next day (in which case will update the judgement).” on 2021-03-31
- krazemon said “Note that this should’ve specified in the US…” on 2021-03-31
- krazemon judged this prediction right on 2021-03-31.
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