Moderna, Pfizer, or AstraZeneca produce an updated COVID vaccine targeting a mutation in 2021 (as assessed by this Metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6007/vaccine-update-due-to-mutation/).

Created by krazemon on 2021-02-23; known on 2022-01-01; judged right by krazemon on 2021-03-11.

• krazemon estimated 55% on 2021-02-23
• krazemon   judged this prediction right on 2021-03-11.