A large quantum computer capable of breaking 163-bit Elliptic Curve Cryptography WILL be built before 2050.

Created by niconiconi on 2021-02-26; known on 2051-01-01

• niconiconi estimated 40% on 2021-02-26
• niconiconi said “For background, see https://predictionbook.com/predictions/203480. Note that the linked prediction is NEGATIVE question, but this is a POSITIVE question.” on 2021-02-26
• niconiconi estimated 60% and said “40% is a bit low for 30 years of progress. Revise it to 51%” on 2021-02-26