RSA-1024 will be factored by 2021-12-31. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RSA_Factoring_Challenge

Created by evand on 2021-03-04; known on 2022-01-15; judged wrong by Kshenoy on 2022-01-15.

  • evand estimated 15% on 2021-03-04
  • MarketsAreCool estimated 25% on 2021-03-04
  • iconreforged estimated 20% on 2021-03-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2021-03-04
  • Medea estimated 12% on 2021-03-13
  • lithp estimated 10% on 2021-03-21
  • lithp estimated 5% on 2021-03-21
  • sam_jaques estimated 1% on 2021-07-31
  • Baeboo estimated 6% on 2021-08-01
  • Kshenoy   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-01-15.
  • evand   judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-15.
  • Baeboo   judged this prediction wrong on 2022-03-16.

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