RSA-1024 will be factored by 2021-12-31. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RSA_Factoring_Challenge
Created by evand on 2021-03-04; known on 2022-01-15; judged wrong by Baeboo on 2022-03-16.
- evand estimated 15% on 2021-03-04
- MarketsAreCool estimated 25% on 2021-03-04
- iconreforged estimated 20% on 2021-03-04
- JoshuaZ estimated 12% on 2021-03-04
- Medea estimated 12% on 2021-03-13
- lithp estimated 10% on 2021-03-21
- lithp estimated 5% on 2021-03-21
- sam_jaques estimated 1% on 2021-07-31
- Baeboo estimated 6% on 2021-08-01
- Kshenoy judged this prediction wrong on 2022-01-15.
- evand judged this prediction unknown on 2022-01-15.
- Baeboo judged this prediction wrong on 2022-03-16.